Frances Tiafoe vs Yunchaokete BuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Yunchaokete Bu have met 1 time since 2025; Frances Tiafoe leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 2 sets to Bu's 0. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Hamburg (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 70% | 16/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 1, Bu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Bu
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 20, 2025
Hamburg
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 11/19 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–4 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | +37.9% | +120.0% |
| Units P/L | +7.20u | +1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Tiafoe and Bu posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 46 57 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hugo Dellien
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Clement Tabur
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Chris Rodesch
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Otto Virtanen
Lexus Birmingham Open · Final
Jun 7
Arthur Fery
Lexus Birmingham Open · Semifinals
Jun 6
Mark Lajal
Lexus Birmingham Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Billy Harris
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Lloyd Harris
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–56 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 64% |
| Sets won | 59% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.