Frances Tiafoe vs Yannick HanfmannPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Yannick Hanfmann have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Boss Open - Stuttgart in 2024 on grass. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 3 sets to Hanfmann's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yannick Hanfmann won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 9 · 2:55 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 3.02 or longer, Yannick Hanfmann has won 12 of 33 (36%). The price implied 26%, so Yannick Hanfmann has beaten it by 10 points.
At 1.39 or shorter, Frances Tiafoe has won 87 of 102 (85%). The price implied 75%, so Frances Tiafoe has beaten it by 10 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Yannick Hanfmann faces Frances Tiafoe in the second round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters on October 9, 2026, on hard court. Hanfmann, ranked 57th, comes in off consecutive matches within 48 hours. Tiafoe, the 10th seed, has had six days of rest after his opening victory.
The head-to-head stands level at 1-1 after two meetings. Tiafoe has won three of his last five matches; Hanfmann has won two of five. On hard court, Tiafoe carries a 14-6 record while Hanfmann sits at 10-10 over their recent sample.
Hanfmann relies on a heavy first serve and prefers to finish points quickly at net. Tiafoe generates power from the ground and attacks aggressively from the baseline. The question is whether Hanfmann can sustain his serving rhythm against Tiafoe's attacking returns, and whether Tiafoe's pace can break through Hanfmann's serve-and-volley setup before fatigue from back-to-back matches becomes a factor.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 19/32 | 68% | 25/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 31% | 18/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 14/26 | 53% | 19/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 10/18 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 26/27 | 97% | 32/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 1, Hanfmann 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Hanfmann
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,927 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 3, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 12, 2024
Boss Open - Stuttgart
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 14% | 2/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.09 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +30.3% | +0.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | +0.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 7,834 mi · 12,607 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | USA → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Hanfmann's 30%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 57 | L 67 16 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 62 64 | L 64 36 46 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 76 75 | L 67 57 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 64 | L 46 26 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | W 76 76 |
| Terence Atmane | L 64 36 46 | L 46 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 46 | L 36 67 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | L 57 76 26 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 36 76 | W 76 76 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 67 76 63 67 46 | W 67 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Martin Damm
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Kamil Majchrzak
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Luca Van Assche
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Flavio Cobolli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Benjamin Bonzi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Matchup videos
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–65 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 60% |
| Sets won | 63% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |