Frances Tiafoe vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈFrances Tiafoe
#12 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
41 meeting Β· sets 2β0

π―π΅Sho Shimabukuro
#87 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
63Frances Tiafoe and Sho Shimabukuro have met 1 time since 2026; Frances Tiafoe leads 1β0. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 2 sets to Shimabukuro's 0. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 70% | 30/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 32% | 22/68 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 67% | 30/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 1, Shimabukuro 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
π₯ Big Hitter
Shimabukuro
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 17, 2026
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 11/19 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15β4 | 7β8 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | +37.9% | -9.9% |
| Units P/L | +7.20u | -1.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km | 1,024 mi Β· 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN β USA | CAN β USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Shimabukuro's 17%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 64 67 64 | L 26 46 |
| Marin Cilic | W 57 62 62 | L 67 16 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 67 76 61 62 | L 67 36 76 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 64 36 75 | L 46 16 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 57 16 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Jaime Faria
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle Β· 2nd Round
Jun 17
Tallon Griekspoor
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Ben Shelton
Boss Open - Stuttgart Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 56β69 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 62% |
| Sets won | 59% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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