Frances Tiafoe vs Matthew EbdenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Matthew Ebden have met 3 times since 2018; Matthew Ebden leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Brisbane in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Ebden leads 2–1. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 3 sets to Ebden's 5. Their most recent meeting: Matthew Ebden won at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai (2018).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Ebden | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Matthew Ebden | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 0, Ebden 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Ebden
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 8, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 10, 2018
Delray Beach
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 2, 2018
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Ebden |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | - |
| ROI % | +37.9% | - |
| Units P/L | +7.20u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Ebden |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 20
Soonwoo Kwon
ATP Masters 1000 Canada · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 6
Kaichi Uchida
Los Cabos · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 30
Tim van Rijthoven
's-Hertogenbosch · Round of 32
Jun 7
Zizou Bergs
's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Stefan Kozlov
's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 4
Mitchell Krueger
Houston · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 2
Nicolas Kicker
ATP Masters 1000 Miami · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–56 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Ebden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | - |
| Sets won | 59% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Ebden |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Ebden |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.