Frances Tiafoe vs Martin DammPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Martin Damm have met 2 times since 2025; Frances Tiafoe leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–0. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 6 sets to Damm's 3. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Damm | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Martin Damm | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 20/33 | 82% | 32/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/47 | 29% | 19/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 56% | 22/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 79% | 34/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 74% | 32/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Damm
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 27, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Damm | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Martin Damm | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 20% | 2/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 2.39 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -22.8% |
| Units P/L | +4.21u | -3.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Damm's 20%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 57 | L 62 16 16 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 64 67 64 | L 64 36 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 64 36 36 57 | L 46 64 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 76 64 76 | W 75 63 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 62 64 | L 46 46 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 75 63 | L 67 26 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L | L 46 67 36 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 64 62 | L 46 63 36 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 64 36 75 | W 63 76 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 46 57 | L 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Daniil Medvedev
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Abedallah Shelbayh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–70 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 57% |
| Sets won | 63% | 57% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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