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Head-to-Head

Frances Tiafoe vs Martin DammPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Frances Tiafoe

🇺🇸Frances Tiafoe

#12 · 28 yrs · R

4
1–0

1 meeting · sets 3–1

Martin Damm

🇺🇸Martin Damm

#92 · 22 yrs · L

Frances Tiafoe and Martin Damm have met 1 time since 2025; Frances Tiafoe leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 3 sets to Damm's 1. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).

Upcoming match

Tournament
U.S. Open - New York
Level
Grand Slam
Round
1st Round
Surface
Hard
Date & time
August 31 · 8:30 PM ET

Book odds

Martin Damm1.713.99
Frances Tiafoe2.101.25

Set spread

Damm -1.55.77
Tiafoe +1.51.11

Game spread

Damm +4.51.85
Tiafoe -4.51.87
DammHard-court specialist (77%)TiafoeHard-court specialist (65%)

Record at prices like this

Martin Damm3.9924% fairWon 20%

Priced around 3.99 or longer, Martin Damm has won 2 of 10 matches, 20% against a fair-price expectation of 20%.

Frances Tiafoe1.2576% fairWon 95%

Priced around 1.25 or shorter, Frances Tiafoe has won 59 of 62 matches, 95% against a fair-price expectation of 82%.

Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.

Frances Tiafoe and Martin Damm meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on August 31 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorTiafoeDamm
Wins in straight sets57%81%
Wins a set when losing38%42%
Goes to a deciding set41%29%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite50%53%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog65%61%
Tiebreak sets won58%51%
Wins after taking set 189%78%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 163%71%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Tiafoe

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Damm

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

1 career meeting, newest first

Aug 27, 2025

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 2nd Round

64
75
687
75
Tiafoe

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeTiafoeDamm
1 or more100%100%
3 or more95%100%
5 or more58%92%
10 or more11%39%
15 or more0%15%
20 or more0%8%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricTiafoeDamm
W-L15–46–6
Avg odds1.922.30
ROI %+37.9%-2.9%
Units P/L+7.20u-0.35u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricTiafoeDamm
Countries22
Events22
Matches64
Distance712 mi · 1,146 km737 mi · 1,186 km
RouteCAN → USACAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Damm's 50%).

OpponentTiafoeDamm
Daniil Medvedev
W
63
62
W
75
63
Brandon Nakashima
W
75
63
L
67
26
Jenson Brooksby
W
64
62
L
46
63
36
Zachary Svajda
W
64
36
75
W
63
76
Alex de Minaur
L
36
46
57
L
67
57
Hubert Hurkacz
W
67
76
64
67
64
W
76
64
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
L
67
67
L
67
36
Andrea Pellegrino
L
67
16
W
60
76
Jakub Mensik
W
76
46
76
L
36
46
Alexei Popyrin
W
36
64
76
W
76
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Tiafoe
LWWWWWWL
L

Arthur Fils

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final

36
61
06

Aug 23

W

Brandon Nakashima

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

75
63

Aug 23

W

Lorenzo Musetti

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

762
75

Aug 22

W

Felix Auger Aliassime

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

63
64

Aug 20

W

Learner Tien

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
46
64

Aug 19

W

Lorenzo Sonego

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 17

W

Marin Cilic

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

57
62
62

Aug 5

L

Terence Atmane

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

64
36
46

Jul 28

Damm
LWWLLLWL
L

Fabian Marozsan

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round

62
36
36

Aug 27

W

Daniil Medvedev

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round

75
63

Aug 26

W

Abedallah Shelbayh

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round

64
762

Aug 24

L

Stefanos Tsitsipas

National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round

46
46

Aug 4

L

Ben Shelton

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

46
64
46

Jul 28

L

Arthur Rinderknech

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

46
617
36

Jul 1

W

Marco Trungelliti

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

765
657
762
765

Jun 29

L

Jenson Brooksby

HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round

46
63
36

Jun 16

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–65 matches

MetricTiafoeDamm
Matches won66%57%
Sets won59%57%
Games won53%52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageTiafoeDamm
Grand Slam10

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceTiafoeDamm
Hard10

Frances Tiafoe vs Martin Damm FAQ

Frances Tiafoe leads the head-to-head 1–0 over 1 meetings.