Frances Tiafoe vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Jan Choinski have met 1 time since 2026; Frances Tiafoe leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 3 sets to Choinski's 1. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 42% | 32/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Frances Tiafoe and Jan Choinski are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 2, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 28/28 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 96% | 27/28 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 11/19 | 71% | 20/28 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 25% | 7/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 7% | 2/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–4 | 18–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +37.9% | +5.7% |
| Units P/L | +7.20u | +1.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 5,992 mi · 9,643 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | GER → USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Choinski's 60%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 64 | L 64 46 46 |
| Diego Dedura | W 64 64 | W 64 61 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 36 64 76 | W 16 62 62 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 67 16 | W 62 36 61 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 76 46 76 | L 76 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–78 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 63% |
| Sets won | 59% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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