Frances Tiafoe vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Frances Tiafoe and Hubert Hurkacz have met 7 times since 2018; Frances Tiafoe leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 3–3. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 12 sets to Hurkacz's 9. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 44% | 15/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 55% | 12/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 2, Hurkacz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
May 28, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 23, 2023
Laver Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 25, 2022
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 11, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 17, 2019
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 7, 2018
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 1, 2018
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 12/20 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 7% | 1/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.52 |
| ROI % | +31.0% | +11.4% |
| Units P/L | +6.20u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 9 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Hurkacz's 30%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 76 75 | L 46 67 |
| Tommy Paul | L 57 64 67 | L 46 76 36 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 64 75 | W 62 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 64 67 67 64 36 | L 76 67 57 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | W 76 76 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 61 63 | L 63 36 57 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 63 16 57 | L 63 67 67 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 67 76 63 67 46 | L 46 46 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 67 76 61 62 | W 63 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 76 26 16 | L 76 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Sho Shimabukuro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alejandro Tabilo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–56 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 57% |
| Sets won | 59% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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