Frances Tiafoe vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈFrances Tiafoe
#10 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
7 meetings Β· sets 12β9

π΅π±Hubert Hurkacz
#34 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
3Frances Tiafoe and Hubert Hurkacz have met 7 times since 2018; Frances Tiafoe leads 4β3. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 3β3. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 12 sets to Hurkacz's 9. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 20/33 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/47 | 44% | 20/45 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 27/28 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 59% | 17/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 2, Hurkacz 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
π₯ Big Hitter
Hurkacz
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
May 28, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Sep 23, 2023
Laver Cup
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Oct 25, 2022
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Oct 11, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Aug 17, 2019
Winston-Salem
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Nov 7, 2018
Next Gen ATP Finals
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Aug 1, 2018
Washington
H Hard Β· Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tiafoe | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Frances Tiafoe | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 83% | 19/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 26% | 6/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13β5 | 18β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +21.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.21u | +4.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 12 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km | 1,611 mi Β· 2,592 km |
| Route | JPN β CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Hurkacz's 30%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 64 67 | L 46 67 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 64 | L 76 67 26 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 46 57 | L |
| Learner Tien | W 64 46 64 | W 57 63 64 |
| Martin Damm | W 64 46 36 63 64 | W 46 63 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 64 36 36 57 | L 36 75 67 57 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 62 64 | L 76 36 46 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 76 75 | L 46 67 |
| Tommy Paul | L 57 64 67 | L 46 76 36 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 64 75 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
James Duckworth
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing Β· Semifinals
Oct 5
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Learner Tien
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· Final
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 55β63 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 64% |
| Sets won | 63% | 60% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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