Flavio Cobolli vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นFlavio Cobolli
#6 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
45 meetings ยท sets 5โ6

๐จ๐ฟTomas Machac
#58 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
3Flavio Cobolli and Tomas Machac have met 5 times since 2022; Tomas Machac leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Machac leads 3โ2. Cobolli has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cobolli has taken 5 sets to Machac's 6. Their most recent meeting: Flavio Cobolli won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cobolli | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Flavio Cobolli | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 16/28 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 9% | 2/22 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 24/26 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 16/26 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cobolli 2, Machac 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cobolli
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Machac
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Flavio Cobolli and Tomas Machac are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 27, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Oct 22, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 3, 2025
United Cup - Australia
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Nov 23, 2022
Andria
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Aug 30, 2022
US Open
H Hard ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ5 | 0โ2 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +36.9% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.17u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | 313 mi ยท 503 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Cobolli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Machac's 44%).
| Opponent | Cobolli | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | W 46 76 63 | L 46 64 36 |
| James Duckworth | W 76 36 76 61 | W 63 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 64 46 76 16 | L 46 26 26 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 62 63 | W 64 64 63 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 75 26 63 | W 36 76 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 63 | L 46 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 67 | L 16 76 36 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 36 26 02 | L 75 46 26 75 26 |
| Jaume Munar | W 16 76 75 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Semifinals
Aug 22
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 6
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexander Zverev
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 27
Zizou Bergs
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 1st Round
May 7
Cameron Norrie
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 2nd Round
Apr 24
Francisco Comesana
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid ยท 1st Round
Apr 22
Andrey Rublev
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 31โ63 matches
| Metric | Cobolli | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 52% |
| Sets won | 54% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cobolli | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cobolli | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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