Flavio Cobolli vs Tomas MachacPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Flavio Cobolli and Tomas Machac have met 5 times since 2022; Tomas Machac leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Machac leads 3–2. Cobolli has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cobolli has taken 5 sets to Machac's 6. Their most recent meeting: Flavio Cobolli won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cobolli | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Flavio Cobolli | Tomas Machac | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 15/28 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 4/22 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 17/50 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 12/23 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 63% | 5/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cobolli 2, Machac 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cobolli
🤖 Servebot
Machac
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 27, 2025
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 22, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 3, 2025
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 23, 2022
Andria
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 30, 2022
US Open
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cobolli | Machac | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Flavio Cobolli | Tomas Machac | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -0.6% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Cobolli and Machac posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Cobolli | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 67 | W 76 67 64 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 36 26 63 64 64 | W 36 76 63 |
| Tommy Paul | W 26 63 64 | W 26 63 63 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 46 76 63 | L 46 64 36 |
| James Duckworth | W 76 36 76 61 | W 63 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 64 46 76 16 | L 46 26 26 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 62 63 | W 64 64 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 67 | L 16 76 36 |
| Jaume Munar | W 16 76 75 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Francisco Comesana
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Zhizhen Zhang
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yannick Hanfmann
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–65 matches
| Metric | Cobolli | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 48% |
| Sets won | 55% | 48% |
| Games won | 50% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cobolli | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cobolli | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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