Flavio Cobolli vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Flavio Cobolli and Marin Cilic have met 3 times since 2023; Flavio Cobolli leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Cobolli leads 2–0. Cobolli has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Cobolli has taken 8 sets to Cilic's 1. Their most recent meeting: Flavio Cobolli won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cobolli | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Flavio Cobolli | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 16/28 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 9% | 2/22 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 26% | 10/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 13/24 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 24/26 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 16/26 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cobolli 1, Cilic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cobolli
💥 Big Hitter
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
May 27, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 24, 2023
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cobolli | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Flavio Cobolli | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | +36.9% | -34.5% |
| Units P/L | +5.17u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cobolli | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cobolli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Cilic's 30%).
| Opponent | Cobolli | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 26 67 | L 75 26 26 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 63 57 64 | L 16 26 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 64 46 76 16 | L 26 75 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 46 64 64 64 | L 67 36 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 62 63 67 76 | L 67 46 |
| Learner Tien | W 62 62 63 | W 75 76 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 62 63 | W 46 63 64 |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | L 26 26 | W 61 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 76 67 57 | L 26 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 67 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Yannick Hanfmann
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alex de Minaur
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–63 matches
| Metric | Cobolli | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 48% |
| Sets won | 54% | 48% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cobolli | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cobolli | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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