Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇧🇷Felipe Meligeni Alves
#453 · 28 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 6–4

🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#255 · 25 yrs · R
Felipe Meligeni Alves and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 4 times since 2021; Felipe Meligeni Alves leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Santiago 3 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Alves leads 3–1. Alves has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alves has taken 6 sets to Almeida's 4. Their most recent meeting: Felipe Meligeni Alves won at Sao Leopoldo Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Meligeni Alves | Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 72% | 33/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 10/40 | 36% | 26/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 49% | 22/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 19/20 | 85% | 40/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 70% | 33/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Meligeni Alves 1, Pucinelli De Almeida 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
🪃 Counterpuncher
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Felipe Meligeni Alves.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 30, 2024
Sao Leopoldo Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 13, 2023
Lyon Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 3, 2022
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 16, 2021
Santiago 3 Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 10/19 | 35% | 7/20 |
| 5 or more | 32% | 6/19 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | +0.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.79u | +0.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | BRA | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Alves's 60%).
| Opponent | Alves | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | L 36 16 | W 63 63 |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | W 63 61 | L 36 67 |
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | W 63 75 | W 36 63 60 |
| Hugo Dellien | L 36 26 | L 75 46 46 |
| Joao Eduardo Schiessl | W 64 57 64 | W 64 62 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 64 64 | W 62 62 |
| Hernan Casanova | L 67 57 | W 57 63 62 |
| Valerio Aboian | W 62 64 | W 63 62 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | W | W 76 62 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 63 36 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Nick Hardt
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Juan Pablo Varillas
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Gustavo Heide
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Carlos Maria Zarate
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Alex Barrena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Remy Bertola
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–72 matches
| Metric | Alves | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 64% |
| Sets won | 58% | 62% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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