Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Facundo Diaz Acosta and Francisco Cerundolo have met 4 times since 2021; Francisco Cerundolo leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Santiago 3 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–1. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 3 sets to Cerundolo's 6. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Australian Open (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 33/53 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 28/74 | 29% | 14/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 26/57 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 15/28 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 33/45 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 1, Cerundolo 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
👑 The Complete Package
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Facundo Diaz Acosta.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 14, 2024
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 25, 2022
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 12, 2021
Santiago 3 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +3.1% | +14.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.46u | +2.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 5,144 mi · 8,278 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | POL → CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Acosta's 22%).
| Opponent | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 67 26 | L 46 46 |
| Jaume Munar | W 46 63 76 | L 16 46 36 |
| Arthur Gea | L 67 36 | L 76 46 06 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 57 | L 46 26 |
| Hugo Gaston | L 75 67 57 | W 26 64 62 61 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 61 64 63 | W 63 76 63 |
| Hugo Dellien | L 26 67 | W 60 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 67 36 | W 60 62 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 67 46 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniel Elahi Galan
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Dusan Lajovic
Seville Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Jaume Munar
Seville Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Sebastian Ofner
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alejandro Moro Canas
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Pol Martin Tiffon
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Quentin Halys
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Casper Ruud
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yanki Erel
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–77 matches
| Metric | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 63% |
| Sets won | 64% | 60% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.