Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Facundo Diaz Acosta
#82 · 25 yrs · L
4wTitle4 meetings · sets 3–6
🇦🇷Francisco Cerundolo
#25 · 28 yrs · R
4Facundo Diaz Acosta and Francisco Cerundolo have met 4 times since 2021; Francisco Cerundolo leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Santiago 3 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–1. Across all meetings Acosta has taken 3 sets to Cerundolo's 6. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Australian Open (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Diaz Acosta | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 35/57 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 31/79 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 27/61 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 29% | 2/7 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 17/28 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 40/47 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 35/47 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Diaz Acosta 1, Cerundolo 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Acosta
⚔️ The Gladiator
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 14, 2024
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 25, 2022
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 12, 2021
Santiago 3 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Acosta | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 11/22 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–5 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -1.1% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.25u | +0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km |
| Route | SMR | MEX → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Acosta's 13%).
| Opponent | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Gea | L 67 36 | L 76 46 06 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 57 | L 46 26 |
| Hugo Gaston | L 75 67 57 | W 26 64 62 61 |
| Learner Tien | L 57 64 63 67 36 | L 64 36 46 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 61 64 63 | W 63 76 63 |
| Hugo Dellien | L 26 67 | W 60 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 67 36 | W 60 62 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 67 46 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommaso Compagnucci
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Cina
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Lautaro Midon
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–81 matches
| Metric | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 61% |
| Sets won | 65% | 59% |
| Games won | 56% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Acosta | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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