Eva Lys vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฉ๐ชEva Lys
#136 ยท 24 yrs ยท Right-Handed
31 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐จ๐ฆLeylah Fernandez
#25 ยท 23 yrs ยท Left-Handed
TitleEva Lys and Leylah Fernandez have met 1 time since 2025; Leylah Fernandez leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Lys has taken 0 sets to Fernandez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lys | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Eva Lys | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 6/10 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 12/30 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 3/13 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 46% | 6/13 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lys 0, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lys
๐ช Counterpuncher
Fernandez
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 29, 2025
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lys | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Eva Lys | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Lys | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ5 | 11โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.62 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -65.0% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.55u | +5.15u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lys | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 11,989 mi ยท 19,294 km | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km |
| Route | BRA โ POR โ ROU | SGP โ ROU โ CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Lys's 20%).
| Opponent | Lys | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Talia Gibson | L 26 63 06 | W 75 60 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 06 26 | W 62 75 |
| Shuai Zhang | L 46 36 | W 63 62 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 63 26 26 | L 67 46 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 46 64 36 | L 46 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 57 16 | L 36 06 |
| Katie Boulter | W 64 36 64 | W 67 63 63 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 63 | W 64 36 64 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 64 06 | L 46 67 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 06 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Gabriela Ce
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท 1st Round
Sep 16
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 15
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 30โ58 matches
| Metric | Lys | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 55% |
| Sets won | 39% | 54% |
| Games won | 44% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lys | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lys | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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