Emilio Nava vs Mattia BellucciPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐บ๐ธEmilio Nava
#111 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
9w4 meetings ยท sets 4โ5

๐ฎ๐นMattia Bellucci
#96 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
3Emilio Nava and Mattia Bellucci have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at St. Tropez Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Nava leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Nava has taken 4 sets to Bellucci's 5. Their most recent meeting: Mattia Bellucci won at Nottingham 2 Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nava | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emilio Nava | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 24/33 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 18/36 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 8/15 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 11/25 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 28/34 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nava 1, Bellucci 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nava
๐ค Servebot
Bellucci
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Emilio Nava and Mattia Bellucci are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 13, 2024
Nottingham 2 Challenger
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Jan 11, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 14, 2023
Malaga Challenger
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Sep 18, 2023
St. Tropez Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nava | Bellucci | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emilio Nava | Mattia Bellucci | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Nava | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ2 | 7โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.45 | 2.37 |
| ROI % | -6.9% | +11.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.48u | +1.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nava | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 3 |
| Matches | โ | 5 |
| Distance | โ | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Nava has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Bellucci's 17%).
| Opponent | Nava | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | L 64 57 36 | L 57 36 |
| Quentin Halys | W 64 64 | L 36 67 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 16 | W 62 64 |
| Tomas Machac | L 62 46 16 | L 36 46 |
| Mariano Navone | L 26 16 | L 57 46 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 62 75 67 46 76 | L 76 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Taro Daniel
Bratislava Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jun 11
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Bratislava Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 9
Henri Squire
Bad Rappenau Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jun 6
Guy Den Ouden
Bad Rappenau Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Marko Topo
Bad Rappenau Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jun 3
Max Houkes
Bad Rappenau Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Martin Landaluce
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 23
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Zachary Svajda
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Sebastian Baez
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Ugo Humbert
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 23
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 2nd Round
Jun 18
Alexander Bublik
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 57โ59 matches
| Metric | Nava | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 49% |
| Sets won | 55% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nava | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nava | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.