Elise Mertens vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇦Yuliia Starodubtseva
#44 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3Elise Mertens and Yuliia Starodubtseva have met 1 time since 2026; Elise Mertens leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Starodubtseva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Starodubtseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Yuliia Starodubtseva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 38% | 23/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 77% | 27/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Starodubtseva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Starodubtseva
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 28, 2026
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Starodubtseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Yuliia Starodubtseva | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.64 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -11.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -1.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Starodubtseva's 50%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Volynets | W 60 46 75 | W 75 26 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 67 36 |
| Ella Seidel | W 63 64 | W 62 62 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 62 | L 46 76 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 36 36 | L 26 76 16 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 63 61 | W 63 16 63 |
| Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | W 62 61 | L 46 60 46 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W | W 64 64 |
| Elvina Kalieva | W 62 60 | L 36 16 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 62 61 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Sakkari
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Ella Seidel
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elise Mertens
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Lilli Tagger
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 24
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–60 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 52% |
| Sets won | 59% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.