Elise Mertens vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π§πͺElise Mertens
#24 Β· 30 yrs Β· Right-Handed
1 meeting Β· sets 2β0

πΊπ¦Yuliia Starodubtseva
#74 Β· 26 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Yuliia Starodubtseva have met 1 time since 2026; Elise Mertens leads 1β0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Starodubtseva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Starodubtseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Yuliia Starodubtseva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 39% | 17/44 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Starodubtseva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
π₯ Big Hitter
Starodubtseva
πΎ All-Court
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs πΎ All-Court is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 958 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 28, 2026
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Starodubtseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Yuliia Starodubtseva | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9β5 | 3β6 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -28.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -2.56u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi Β· 2,760 km | 1,715 mi Β· 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN β POL β AUT | CAN β POL β AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Mertens and Starodubtseva posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Mertens | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | W 36 61 76 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 62 | L 46 76 46 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 63 61 | W 63 16 63 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 26 46 | W 64 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 36 | L 75 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Elise Mertens
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 2nd Round
Aug 26
Lilli Tagger
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Sloane Stephens
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Blinkova
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Anastasia Zakharova
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne Β· 1st Round
Jun 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 44β49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 45% |
| Sets won | 58% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Starodubtseva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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