Elise Mertens vs Viktoriya TomovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#24 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ1

๐ง๐ฌViktoriya Tomova
#315 ยท 31 yrs ยท Right-Handed
7wElise Mertens and Viktoriya Tomova have met 2 times since 2021; Elise Mertens leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2021 on hard. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Tomova's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Tomova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Viktoriya Tomova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 18% | 2/11 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 67% | 2/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Tomova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Tomova
๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs ๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler across 826 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 9, 2025
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Mar 8, 2021
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Tomova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ5 | 0โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 4.47 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Tomova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 7 | โ |
| Distance | 1,715 mi ยท 2,760 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL โ AUT | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Tomova's 0%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Tomova |
|---|---|---|
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 57 61 75 | L 36 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 64 | L 64 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Hayu Kinoshita
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Greet Minnen
Hertogenbosch
Jun 6
Laura Siegemund
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart ยท 1st Round
Apr 13
Anna Kalinskaya
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston ยท 2nd Round
Mar 31
Jennifer Brady
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston ยท 1st Round
Mar 30
Suzan Lamens
Oeiras 2 Jamor Indoor - Oeiras ยท Quarterfinals
Feb 20
En Shuo Liang
Oeiras 2 Jamor Indoor - Oeiras ยท 2nd Round
Feb 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 11โ49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Tomova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 27% |
| Sets won | 58% | 29% |
| Games won | 54% | 41% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Tomova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Tomova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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