Elise Mertens vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#148 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
24wElise Mertens and Varvara Gracheva have met 3 times since 2022; Elise Mertens leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Mertens leads 3–0. Mertens has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 6 sets to Gracheva's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elise Mertens and Varvara Gracheva are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 2, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 4, 2024
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 27, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | - |
| ROI % | +12.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Mertens and Gracheva posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | W 62 26 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 57 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 64 | W 76 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 36 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 38% |
| Sets won | 58% | 36% |
| Games won | 54% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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