Elise Mertens vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wElise Mertens and Varvara Gracheva have met 3 times since 2022; Elise Mertens leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Mertens leads 3–0. Mertens has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 6 sets to Gracheva's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Gracheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elise Mertens and Varvara Gracheva are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 2, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 4, 2024
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 27, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | - |
| ROI % | +23.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Mertens and Gracheva posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | W 62 26 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 57 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 64 | W 76 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 36 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 53% |
| Sets won | 59% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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