Elise Mertens vs Taylor TownsendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π§πͺElise Mertens
#14 Β· 30 yrs Β· Right-Handed
2 meetings Β· sets 2β2

πΊπΈTaylor Townsend
#89 Β· 30 yrs Β· Left-Handed
4w3Elise Mertens and Taylor Townsend have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Townsend's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Singapore Open - Singapore (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Taylor Townsend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 34% | 12/35 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 83% | 15/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Townsend 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
π₯ Big Hitter
Townsend
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 28, 2025
Singapore Open - Singapore
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Mar 21, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Townsend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Taylor Townsend | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10β6 | 7β3 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +27.3% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | +2.73u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi Β· 4,472 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | SGP β ROU | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Townsend's 50%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 63 | L 16 62 36 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 63 | L 46 06 |
| Maja Chwalinska | L 26 26 | W 62 63 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | W 67 63 62 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 16 64 62 | W 61 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 36 46 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 36 | L 76 67 46 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | W 76 75 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 46 16 | W 64 75 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 36 36 | L 63 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing Β· Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing Β· 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Tatjana Maria
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 1st Round
Sep 14
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 6
Diana Shnaider
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Taylah Preston
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Maja Chwalinska
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 35β55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 63% |
| Sets won | 59% | 60% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Townsend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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