Elise Mertens vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#125 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4Elise Mertens and Sofia Kenin have met 3 times since 2019; Sofia Kenin leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mallorca in 2019 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Kenin's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at U.S. Open - New York (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 40% | 6/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Kenin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 7, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Sep 25, 2019
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 21, 2019
Mallorca
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 3.54 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -63.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -5.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Kenin's 29%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L 57 26 | L 61 36 36 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 62 | L 06 57 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 16 63 60 | L 46 06 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 36 36 | W 64 46 63 |
| Bianca Andreescu | W 61 62 | L 46 57 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 36 | L 67 63 26 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 63 61 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Kamilla Rakhimova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alina Charaeva
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Venus Williams
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 27% |
| Sets won | 59% | 35% |
| Games won | 54% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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