Elise Mertens vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#110 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Sofia Kenin have met 3 times since 2019; Sofia Kenin leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Mallorca in 2019 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Kenin's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at U.S. Open - New York (2020).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 43% | 6/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Kenin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 7, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Sep 25, 2019
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 21, 2019
Mallorca
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -32.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -2.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kenin's 40%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Emma Navarro | W 62 62 | L 06 57 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 64 | W 26 63 75 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 16 63 60 | L 46 06 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | L 64 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 36 36 | W 64 46 63 |
| Bianca Andreescu | W 61 62 | L 46 57 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 46 76 63 | L 36 06 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 36 | L 67 63 26 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 63 61 | W 61 63 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 26 46 | L 16 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Amanda Anisimova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Petra Marcinko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Daria Snigur
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Viktorija Golubic
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Viktorija Golubic
Nottingham
Jun 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 33% |
| Sets won | 58% | 38% |
| Games won | 54% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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