Elise Mertens vs Sloane StephensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π§πͺElise Mertens
#14 Β· 30 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5 meetings Β· sets 5β7

πΊπΈSloane Stephens
#133 Β· 33 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4w4Elise Mertens and Sloane Stephens have met 5 times since 2018; Sloane Stephens leads 3β2. Their first meeting came at Cincinnati in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2β2. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 5 sets to Stephens's 7. Their most recent meeting: Sloane Stephens won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Sloane Stephens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 72% | 13/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Stephens 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
π₯ Big Hitter
Stephens
βοΈ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 60% vs βοΈ Grinder across 1,462 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Jan 3, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Sep 12, 2023
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Aug 30, 2018
US Open
H Hard Β· Round of 16
Aug 16, 2018
Cincinnati
H Hard Β· Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Sloane Stephens | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10β6 | 9β7 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.98 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +21.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | +3.43u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi Β· 4,472 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | SGP β ROU | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Stephens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Mertens's 25%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L 57 26 | L 36 26 |
| Diane Parry | L 46 60 36 | W 62 64 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | W 64 57 62 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 36 | L 36 16 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | W 16 76 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 46 26 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 46 16 | L 46 16 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 57 62 67 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing Β· Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing Β· 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Janice Tjen
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 2nd Round
Sep 16
Carole Monnet
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 1st Round
Sep 14
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Clara Tauson
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Philly Open - Philadelphia Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anastasia Potapova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 38β55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 47% |
| Sets won | 59% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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