Elise Mertens vs Sloane StephensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 5–7
🇺🇸Sloane Stephens
#208 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
4Elise Mertens and Sloane Stephens have met 5 times since 2018; Sloane Stephens leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Cincinnati in 2018 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 5 sets to Stephens's 7. Their most recent meeting: Sloane Stephens won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Sloane Stephens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Stephens 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Stephens
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 61% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,327 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 25, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 3, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 12, 2023
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 30, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 16, 2018
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Stephens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Sloane Stephens | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | +8.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | +0.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 4 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 1,730 mi · 2,784 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | ECU → CAN → POL → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Mertens and Stephens posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | W 64 57 62 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 36 | L 36 16 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | W 16 76 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 46 26 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 46 16 | L 46 16 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 57 62 67 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anastasia Potapova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Sinja Kraus
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Solana Sierra
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Yuliia Starodubtseva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 28% |
| Sets won | 58% | 33% |
| Games won | 54% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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