Elise Mertens vs Renata ZarazuaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇲🇽Renata Zarazua
#85 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Renata Zarazua have met 1 time since 2025; Elise Mertens leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Zarazua's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Hobart International - Hobart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Renata Zarazua | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 60% | 25/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 26% | 9/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 34% | 26/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 44% | 17/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 66% | 25/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Zarazua 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Zarazua
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 8, 2025
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Renata Zarazua | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 9–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.94 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -0.3% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -0.06u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Zarazua's 40%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Bondar | W 36 64 64 | W 76 63 |
| Maria Timofeeva | W 62 76 | W 75 62 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | L 16 06 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | W 64 64 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W | W 64 61 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 16 46 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | L 26 57 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 16 26 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 57 61 75 | L 16 26 |
| Bianca Andreescu | W 61 62 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rebecca Sramkova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Semifinals
Oct 10
Katarina Zavatska
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Darya Astakhova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Han Shi
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Aryna Sabalenka
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Anna Bondar
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Caroline Dolehide
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–77 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 56% |
| Sets won | 59% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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