Elise Mertens vs Renata ZarazuaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇲🇽Renata Zarazua
#71 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3Elise Mertens and Renata Zarazua have met 1 time since 2025; Elise Mertens leads 1–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Zarazua's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Hobart International - Hobart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Renata Zarazua | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 35% | 23/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 91% | 32/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Zarazua 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Zarazua
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 8, 2025
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Zarazua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Renata Zarazua | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 9–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.81 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | +10.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | +1.73u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 2,526 mi · 4,066 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | ECU → CAN → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Zarazua's 30%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | L 16 06 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | W 64 64 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 26 46 | W 64 61 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 16 46 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | L 26 57 |
| Maria Timofeeva | W 26 63 60 | W 75 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 16 26 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 57 61 75 | L 16 26 |
| Bianca Andreescu | W 61 62 | L 36 57 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 36 63 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tamara Korpatsch
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anastasia Zakharova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Semifinals
Aug 1
Tatjana Maria
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mccartney Kessler
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Caroline Dolehide
W100 Evansville · Semifinals
Jul 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–66 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 62% |
| Sets won | 58% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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