Elise Mertens vs Moyuka UchijimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇯🇵Moyuka Uchijima
#99 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
4wElise Mertens and Moyuka Uchijima have met 2 times since 2022; Elise Mertens leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Jasmin Open Tunisia - Monastir in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 2–0. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Uchijima's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 76% | 16/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Uchijima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Uchijima
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elise Mertens and Moyuka Uchijima are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 22, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 7, 2022
Jasmin Open Tunisia - Monastir
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -21.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -1.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Uchijima's 30%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | L 36 61 36 |
| Anna Bondar | W 36 64 64 | L 57 46 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 62 61 | W 63 64 |
| Maja Chwalinska | L 46 06 | W 26 63 75 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 46 16 | W 67 63 61 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 26 | L 62 46 26 |
| Polina Kudermetova | W 76 63 | L 67 26 |
| Coco Gauff | L 62 67 36 | L 16 06 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 46 06 | L 64 36 06 |
| Lin Zhu | W 62 62 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cristina Bucsa
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Maddison Inglis
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Hayu Kinoshita
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Miho Kuramochi
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Anna Bondar
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 20
Elina Avanesyan
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Irene Burillo
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 49% |
| Sets won | 58% | 50% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.