Elise Mertens vs Moyuka UchijimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇯🇵Moyuka Uchijima
#121 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
4Elise Mertens and Moyuka Uchijima have met 2 times since 2022; Elise Mertens leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Jasmin Open Tunisia - Monastir in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 2–0. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Uchijima's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 37% | 19/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Uchijima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Uchijima
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elise Mertens and Moyuka Uchijima are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 22, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 7, 2022
Jasmin Open Tunisia - Monastir
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Uchijima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Moyuka Uchijima | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -37.2% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -4.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Uchijima's 43%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Maja Chwalinska | L 26 26 | W 26 63 75 |
| Lanlana Tararudee | W 75 61 | L 46 76 26 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | L 36 61 36 |
| Anna Bondar | W 36 64 64 | L 57 46 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 62 61 | W 63 64 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 46 16 | W 67 63 61 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 46 06 | L 64 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Zhuoxuan Bai
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lanlana Tararudee
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Lucie Havlickova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Polona Hercog
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cristina Bucsa
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 50% |
| Sets won | 59% | 51% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Uchijima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.