Elise Mertens vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇺🇸Mccartney Kessler
#65 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Mccartney Kessler have met 2 times since 2025; Mccartney Kessler leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Hobart International - Hobart in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Kessler leads 2–0. Kessler has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kessler leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 1 sets to Kessler's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mccartney Kessler won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 34% | 15/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 0, Kessler 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Kessler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elise Mertens and Mccartney Kessler are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 11, 2025
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -4.98u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Mertens and Kessler posted a 56% win rate.
| Opponent | Mertens | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | L 46 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 75 36 46 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 46 06 | W 63 76 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 16 63 60 | W 76 61 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 57 62 67 | L 76 36 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 16 76 16 |
| Elvina Kalieva | W 62 60 | W 46 63 63 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 62 61 | W 36 75 63 |
| Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | W 62 61 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cadence Brace
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Anhelina Kalinina
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 48% |
| Sets won | 58% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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