Elise Mertens vs Maya JointPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#14 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ฆ๐บMaya Joint
#92 ยท 20 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3Elise Mertens and Maya Joint have met 1 time since 2025; Elise Mertens leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Joint's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Hobart International - Hobart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Joint | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Maya Joint | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 50% | 24/48 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 43% | 9/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Joint 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Joint
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 60% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 1,462 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 10, 2025
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Joint | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Maya Joint | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ6 | 11โ9 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +0.1% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | +0.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi ยท 4,472 km | 1,246 mi ยท 2,005 km |
| Route | SGP โ ROU | POR โ ROU โ CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Joint's 40%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 63 | L 16 16 |
| Lanlana Tararudee | W 75 61 | W 64 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 16 63 60 | W 36 62 62 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | W 46 61 63 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 61 46 63 | L 67 16 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 26 | W 64 64 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 46 16 | L 61 06 36 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 46 06 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 63 26 06 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 26 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Kimberly Birrell
Korea Open - Seoul ยท Final
Sep 27
Alina Korneeva
Korea Open - Seoul ยท Semifinals
Sep 26
Lanlana Tararudee
Korea Open - Seoul ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Dayeon Back
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 2nd Round
Sep 23
Xinxin Yao
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Elina Svitolina
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 48โ55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 44% |
| Sets won | 59% | 45% |
| Games won | 54% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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