Elise Mertens vs Maya JointPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#24 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ฆ๐บMaya Joint
#75 ยท 20 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3Elise Mertens and Maya Joint have met 1 time since 2025; Elise Mertens leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Joint's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Hobart International - Hobart (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Joint | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Maya Joint | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 37% | 17/46 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 52% | 12/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Joint 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Joint
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 61% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 1,327 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 10, 2025
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Joint | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Maya Joint | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ5 | 6โ9 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -20.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -3.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi ยท 2,760 km | 1,715 mi ยท 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN โ POL โ AUT | CAN โ POL โ AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Joint's 20%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | W 46 61 63 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 61 46 63 | L 67 16 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 16 63 60 | L 57 76 26 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 26 | W 64 64 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 46 16 | L 61 06 36 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 46 06 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 63 26 06 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 26 06 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 61 36 06 | L 36 57 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 62 61 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 1st Round
Aug 26
Tamara Korpatsch
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Sorana Cirstea
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Yuliia Starodubtseva
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Kristina Liutova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Whitney Osuigwe
The Memphis Classic - Memphis ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Tereza Valentova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 46โ49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 43% |
| Sets won | 58% | 45% |
| Games won | 54% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Joint |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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