Elise Mertens vs Marie BouzkovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–2
🇨🇿Marie Bouzkova
#28 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Marie Bouzkova have met 3 times since 2023; Elise Mertens leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 5 sets to Bouzkova's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Bouzkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Marie Bouzkova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 21% | 11/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 64% | 21/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 83% | 25/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Bouzkova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Bouzkova
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 6, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Feb 15, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 16, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Bouzkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Marie Bouzkova | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -15.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Bouzkova's 50%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L 57 26 | L 67 64 57 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 63 | L 67 67 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 63 | L 36 26 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 61 46 63 | W 67 62 62 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 46 16 | L 62 46 67 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 16 63 60 | W 46 76 64 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 62 | W 76 46 62 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 57 62 67 | W 64 61 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | W 75 60 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Clara Tauson
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Kimberly Birrell
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Iga Swiatek
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elsa Jacquemot
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Iva Jovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 58% |
| Sets won | 59% | 57% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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