Elise Mertens vs Maria TimofeevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇿Maria Timofeeva
#63 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
TitleElise Mertens and Maria Timofeeva have met 2 times since 2026; Elise Mertens leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2026 on grass. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Timofeeva's 1. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Timofeeva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Maria Timofeeva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 80% | 37/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 22% | 14/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 72% | 28/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 93% | 42/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 82% | 37/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Timofeeva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Timofeeva
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 3, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 2, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Timofeeva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Maria Timofeeva | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 11–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +33.4% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | +4.68u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 5,859 mi · 9,429 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | EGY → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Mertens and Timofeeva posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Mertens | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | L 36 63 57 | L 36 63 36 |
| Lanlana Tararudee | W 75 61 | W 76 26 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Darja Vidmanova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Reese Brantmeier
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · Final
Sep 27
Mia Pohankova
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · Semifinals
Sep 26
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Sofia Johnson
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · 1st Round
Sep 22
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–65 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 71% |
| Sets won | 59% | 67% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.