Elise Mertens vs Mai HontamaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇯🇵Mai Hontama
#167 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3wElise Mertens and Mai Hontama have met 2 times since 2023; Elise Mertens leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Jasmin Open Tunisia - Monastir in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 2–0. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Hontama's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Osaka (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Hontama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Mai Hontama | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 39% | 22/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 81% | 29/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 53% | 19/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Hontama 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Hontama
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,165 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 15, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Osaka
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 20, 2023
Jasmin Open Tunisia - Monastir
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Hontama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Mai Hontama | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | +30.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | +5.47u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hontama has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mertens's 0%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Diane Parry | L 46 60 36 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Katrina Scott
W100 Landisville · Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Yeon Woo Ku
W100 Landisville · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Erika Andreeva
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 4
Maddison Inglis
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Semifinals
Jul 31
Jia Jing Lu
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Himeno Sakatsume
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Kayla Day
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lilli Tagger
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–57 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 54% |
| Sets won | 58% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.