Elise Mertens vs Mai HontamaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇯🇵Mai Hontama
#164 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Mai Hontama have met 2 times since 2023; Elise Mertens leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Jasmin Open Tunisia - Monastir in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 2–0. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Hontama's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Osaka (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Hontama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Mai Hontama | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 61% | 23/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 38% | 26/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 46% | 16/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 80% | 33/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 56% | 23/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Hontama 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Hontama
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 15, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Osaka
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 20, 2023
Jasmin Open Tunisia - Monastir
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Hontama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Mai Hontama | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +2.2% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | +0.37u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hontama has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mertens's 50%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Timofeeva | W 62 76 | W 16 64 75 |
| Diane Parry | L 46 60 36 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Emerson Jones
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Jodie Burrage
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Alexandra Panova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Eunhye Lee
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 19
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lina Gjorcheska
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Katrina Scott
W100 Landisville · Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–69 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 55% |
| Sets won | 59% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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