Elise Mertens vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#45 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Liudmila Samsonova have met 3 times since 2022; Liudmila Samsonova leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Samsonova leads 2–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Samsonova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 41% | 17/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 0, Samsonova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 15, 2026
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
Aug 9, 2024
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 1, 2022
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | +11.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | +1.81u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Samsonova's 25%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 62 67 36 | L 62 46 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 46 64 46 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 57 61 75 | W 61 75 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | L 64 67 46 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 64 | L 60 57 46 |
| Polina Kudermetova | W 76 63 | W 63 63 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 46 06 | L 57 36 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 26 46 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Yulia Putintseva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Barbora Krejcikova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Janice Tjen
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Xinyu Wang
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 44% |
| Sets won | 58% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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