Elise Mertens vs Liudmila SamsonovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇷🇺Liudmila Samsonova
#43 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Liudmila Samsonova have met 3 times since 2022; Liudmila Samsonova leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Citi Open - Washington in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Samsonova leads 2–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Samsonova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 46% | 13/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 0, Samsonova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Samsonova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 15, 2026
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
Aug 9, 2024
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 1, 2022
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Samsonova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Liudmila Samsonova | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +20.9% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | +3.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | UKR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Samsonova's 13%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | W 63 63 | L 62 46 16 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 61 36 06 | L 64 46 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 46 64 46 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 57 61 75 | W 61 75 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | L 64 67 46 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 64 | L 60 57 46 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 46 06 | L 57 36 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Linda Fruhvirtova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 19
Kayla Day
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Marta Kostyuk
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Elsa Jacquemot
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 15
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 45% |
| Sets won | 59% | 50% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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