Elise Mertens vs Laura SiegemundPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#24 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ0

๐ฉ๐ชLaura Siegemund
#102 ยท 38 yrs ยท Right-Handed
9w3Elise Mertens and Laura Siegemund have met 2 times since 2020; Elise Mertens leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Siegemund's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Siegemund | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Laura Siegemund | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 50% | 5/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Siegemund 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Siegemund
๐ฏ Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ฏ Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 30, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Sep 1, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ5 | 1โ3 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -66.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -2.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 7 | โ |
| Distance | 1,715 mi ยท 2,760 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL โ AUT | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Siegemund's 25%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | L 36 67 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 76 36 36 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 16 63 60 | W 06 75 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | W 67 63 63 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 57 62 67 | L 16 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 46 76 63 | L 63 26 46 |
| Coco Gauff | L 62 67 36 | L 36 06 |
| Daria Kasatkina | L 46 06 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Sara Bejlek
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 23
Amanda Anisimova
The HSBC Championships - London ยท 2nd Round
Jun 10
Francesca Jones
The HSBC Championships - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 9
Naomi Osaka
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 26
Karolina Pliskova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 3rd Round
May 10
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 2nd Round
May 8
Sara Bejlek
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 1st Round
May 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 25โ49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 40% |
| Sets won | 58% | 43% |
| Games won | 54% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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