Elise Mertens vs Lara ArruabarrenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#14 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ช๐ธLara Arruabarrena
Unranked ยท 34 yrs ยท Right-Handed
271wElise Mertens and Lara Arruabarrena have met 1 time since 2021; Elise Mertens leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Arruabarrena's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Istanbul Open - Istanbul (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Arruabarrena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Lara Arruabarrena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Arruabarrena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Arruabarrena
๐พ All-Court
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐พ All-Court across 952 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 20, 2021
Istanbul Open - Istanbul
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Arruabarrena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | - |
| ROI % | +23.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Arruabarrena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 6 | โ |
| Distance | 2,779 mi ยท 4,472 km | โ |
| Route | SGP โ ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mihaela Buzarnescu
Winners Open - Cluj-Napoca ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Evelyne Christelle Atticia Tiron
Winners Open - Cluj-Napoca ยท 1st Round
Aug 2
Grace Min
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo ยท 1st Round
Jul 19
Rebecca Peterson
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 7
Giulia Gatto Monticone
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 6
Varvara Gracheva
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 31
Elise Mertens
Istanbul Open - Istanbul ยท 1st Round
Apr 20
Harmony Tan
Copa Colsanitas - Bogota ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Arruabarrena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | - |
| Sets won | 59% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Arruabarrena |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Arruabarrena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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