Elise Mertens vs Lara ArruabarrenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#24 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ช๐ธLara Arruabarrena
Unranked ยท 34 yrs ยท Right-Handed
265wElise Mertens and Lara Arruabarrena have met 1 time since 2021; Elise Mertens leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Arruabarrena's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Istanbul Open - Istanbul (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Arruabarrena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Lara Arruabarrena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Arruabarrena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Arruabarrena
๐พ All-Court
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐พ All-Court is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 958 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 20, 2021
Istanbul Open - Istanbul
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Arruabarrena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | - |
| ROI % | +12.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Arruabarrena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 7 | โ |
| Distance | 1,715 mi ยท 2,760 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL โ AUT | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Mihaela Buzarnescu
Winners Open - Cluj-Napoca ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Evelyne Christelle Atticia Tiron
Winners Open - Cluj-Napoca ยท 1st Round
Aug 2
Grace Min
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo ยท 1st Round
Jul 19
Rebecca Peterson
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 7
Giulia Gatto Monticone
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 6
Varvara Gracheva
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 31
Elise Mertens
Istanbul Open - Istanbul ยท 1st Round
Apr 20
Harmony Tan
Copa Colsanitas - Bogota ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 49โ49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Arruabarrena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | - |
| Sets won | 58% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Arruabarrena |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Arruabarrena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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