Elise Mertens vs Kristina MladenovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#24 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
6 meetings ยท sets 6โ8
๐ซ๐ทKristina Mladenovic
#852 ยท 33 yrs ยท Right-Handed
11wElise Mertens and Kristina Mladenovic have met 6 times since 2016; they are level 3โ3. Their first meeting came at 's Hertogenbosch in 2016 on grass. On hard courts Mertens leads 3โ2. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 6 sets to Mladenovic's 8. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Mladenovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Kristina Mladenovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Mladenovic 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Mladenovic
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 3,165 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2021
Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Aug 24, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 10, 2018
Fed Cup WG R1: BEL vs FRA
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Feb 1, 2017
St. Petersburg
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Jan 11, 2017
Hobart
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Jun 10, 2016
's Hertogenbosch
G Grass ยท Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ5 | 0โ1 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 7 | โ |
| Distance | 1,715 mi ยท 2,760 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL โ AUT | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Valentina Ryser
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
Oeiras Jamor Ladies Open - Oeiras ยท 1st Round
Apr 14
Carmen Andreea Herea
Billie Jean King Cup, Group I, Europe/Africa ยท Rubber 1
Apr 9
Yidi Yang
Open Arena - Les Sables d'Olonne ยท 1st Round
Feb 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
W100 Dubai 1 ยท 1st Round
Dec 2
Maria Lourdes Carle
MundoTenis Open - Florianopolis ยท 2nd Round
Dec 4
Emiliana Arango
MundoTenis Open - Florianopolis ยท 1st Round
Dec 2
Mayar Sherif
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires ยท 2nd Round
Nov 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 5โ49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 20% |
| Sets won | 58% | 18% |
| Games won | 54% | 37% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| BJK Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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