Elise Mertens vs Kristina MladenovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 6–8
🇫🇷Kristina Mladenovic
#803 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
9Elise Mertens and Kristina Mladenovic have met 6 times since 2016; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at 's Hertogenbosch in 2016 on grass. On hard courts Mertens leads 3–2. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 6 sets to Mladenovic's 8. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Mladenovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Kristina Mladenovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 33% | 1/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Mladenovic 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Mladenovic
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2021
Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 24, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 10, 2018
Fed Cup WG R1: BEL vs FRA
H Hard · Round Robin
Feb 1, 2017
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 11, 2017
Hobart
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 10, 2016
's Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 5.75 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 2,133 mi · 3,432 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | SGP → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mladenovic's 0%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elvina Kalieva | W 62 60 | L 26 61 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Sofia Costoulas
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 1st Round
Sep 29
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Elvina Kalieva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Tiphanie Lemaitre
W50 Palma Del Rio · 1st Round
Jun 24
Valentina Ryser
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 16
Xiyu Wang
French Open - Paris · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
Oeiras Jamor Ladies Open - Oeiras · 1st Round
Apr 14
Carmen Andreea Herea
Billie Jean King Cup, Group I, Europe/Africa · Rubber 1
Apr 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 15% |
| Sets won | 59% | 26% |
| Games won | 54% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| BJK Cup | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Mladenovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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