Elise Mertens vs Kimberly BirrellPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#14 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ฆ๐บKimberly Birrell
#40 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
TitleElise Mertens and Kimberly Birrell have met 1 time since 2025; Elise Mertens leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Birrell's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Birrell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Kimberly Birrell | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 41% | 26/63 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Birrell 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Birrell
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐น Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 8, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Birrell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Kimberly Birrell | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ6 | 7โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | +0.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi ยท 4,472 km | 592 mi ยท 952 km |
| Route | SGP โ ROU | POR โ ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Birrell's 60%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Volynets | W 60 46 75 | W 26 62 75 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | L 46 46 |
| Anna Bondar | W 36 64 64 | W 75 26 61 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 16 64 62 | W 16 61 63 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 61 46 63 | L 46 61 16 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 16 26 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 26 | L 36 46 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 57 61 75 | W 63 76 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | W 64 36 75 |
| Ella Seidel | W 63 64 | W 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Marie Bouzkova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aoi Ito
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Maya Joint
Korea Open - Seoul ยท Final
Sep 27
Katie Volynets
Korea Open - Seoul ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul ยท Semifinals
Sep 26
Ye Xin Ma
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Tamara Zidansek
Korea Open - Seoul ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ63 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 59% |
| Sets won | 59% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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