Elise Mertens vs Kaitlin QuevedoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#14 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ช๐ธKaitlin Quevedo
#76 ยท 20 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3wTitleElise Mertens and Kaitlin Quevedo have met 1 time since 2026; Elise Mertens leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 2 sets to Quevedo's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Quevedo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Kaitlin Quevedo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 68% | 30/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 17% | 4/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 27% | 18/67 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 54% | 21/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 95% | 36/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 79% | 30/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Quevedo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Quevedo
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elise Mertens and Kaitlin Quevedo are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 1, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Quevedo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Kaitlin Quevedo | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Quevedo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ6 | 9โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -12.1% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -1.81u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Quevedo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi ยท 4,472 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | SGP โ ROU | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Quevedo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mertens's 0%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Quevedo |
|---|---|---|
| Maja Chwalinska | L 26 26 | L 63 26 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 36 36 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Nadia Podoroska
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท Final
Sep 21
Anna Blinkova
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท Semifinals
Sep 19
Teodora Kostovic
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Anastasia Tikhonova
SP Open - Sao Paulo ยท 1st Round
Sep 16
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Kia Open - Barranquilla ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Claire Liu
Kia Open - Barranquilla ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Anna Sinclair Rogers
Kia Open - Barranquilla ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ67 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Quevedo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 66% |
| Sets won | 59% | 61% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Quevedo |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Quevedo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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