Elise Mertens vs Kaia KanepiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–2
🇪🇪Kaia Kanepi
Unranked · 41 yrs · Right-Handed
149wElise Mertens and Kaia Kanepi have met 3 times since 2019; Elise Mertens leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Charleston in 2019 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Mertens leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 5 sets to Kanepi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Kanepi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Kaia Kanepi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Kanepi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Kanepi
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2021
Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · Final
Sep 30, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 3, 2019
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | - |
| ROI % | +23.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chloe Paquet
Open Angers Arena Loire - Angers · 1st Round
Dec 5
Dalma Galfi
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole - Rouen · 1st Round
Oct 10
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Aug 31
Barbora Strycova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 29
Rebecca Peterson
Chicago Open - Chicago · 2nd Round
Aug 23
Margarita Betova
Chicago Open - Chicago · 1st Round
Aug 21
Alize Cornet
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 2nd Round
Aug 3
Lucrezia Stefanini
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | - |
| Sets won | 59% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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