Elise Mertens vs Kaia KanepiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–2
🇪🇪Kaia Kanepi
Unranked · 41 yrs · Right-Handed
143wElise Mertens and Kaia Kanepi have met 3 times since 2019; Elise Mertens leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Charleston in 2019 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Mertens leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 5 sets to Kanepi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Kanepi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Kaia Kanepi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Kanepi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Kanepi
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2021
Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · Final
Sep 30, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 3, 2019
Charleston
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | - |
| ROI % | +12.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Chloe Paquet
Open Angers Arena Loire - Angers · 1st Round
Dec 5
Dalma Galfi
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole - Rouen · 1st Round
Oct 10
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Aug 31
Barbora Strycova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 29
Rebecca Peterson
Chicago Open - Chicago · 2nd Round
Aug 23
Margarita Betova
Chicago Open - Chicago · 1st Round
Aug 21
Alize Cornet
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 2nd Round
Aug 3
Lucrezia Stefanini
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | - |
| Sets won | 58% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Kanepi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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