Elise Mertens vs Garbine MuguruzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇪🇸Garbine Muguruza
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
194wElise Mertens and Garbine Muguruza have met 3 times since 2016; Garbine Muguruza leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Muguruza leads 2–1. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 3 sets to Muguruza's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Muguruza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Garbine Muguruza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/54 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 0, Muguruza 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Muguruza
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 12, 2021
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 30, 2016
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | - |
| ROI % | +23.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Linda Noskova
Open 6 Sens - Lyon · 1st Round
Jan 30
Elise Mertens
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 17
Belinda Bencic
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 9
Bianca Andreescu
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 1
Liudmila Samsonova
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Sep 23
Despina Papamichail
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Sep 21
Petra Kvitova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 3
Linda Fruhvirtova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–54 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | - |
| Sets won | 58% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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