Elise Mertens vs Garbine MuguruzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇪🇸Garbine Muguruza
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
187wElise Mertens and Garbine Muguruza have met 3 times since 2016; Garbine Muguruza leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Muguruza leads 2–1. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 3 sets to Muguruza's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Muguruza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Garbine Muguruza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 0, Muguruza 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Muguruza
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 12, 2021
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 30, 2016
US Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | - |
| ROI % | +12.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Linda Noskova
Open 6 Sens - Lyon · 1st Round
Jan 30
Elise Mertens
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 17
Belinda Bencic
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 9
Bianca Andreescu
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 1
Liudmila Samsonova
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Sep 23
Despina Papamichail
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Sep 21
Petra Kvitova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 3
Linda Fruhvirtova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | - |
| Sets won | 58% | - |
| Games won | 54% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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