Elise Mertens vs Fiona FerroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ชElise Mertens
#15 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
32 meetings ยท sets 4โ0

๐ซ๐ทFiona Ferro
#100 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Fiona Ferro have met 2 times since 2019; Elise Mertens leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2019 on grass. Mertens has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Ferro's 0. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Ferro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Fiona Ferro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 71% | 30/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/55 | 34% | 21/61 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 20/39 | 68% | 27/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 8/15 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 27/31 | 95% | 39/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 23/31 | 73% | 30/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Ferro 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Ferro
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 7,529 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elise Mertens.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 11, 2022
Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jul 2, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass ยท Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Ferro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Fiona Ferro | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 46% | 12/26 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 4% | 1/26 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 0% | 0/26 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/26 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/26 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/26 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ8 | 20โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | +9.7% | +1.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.74u | +0.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 3 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,868 mi ยท 6,225 km | โ |
| Route | SGP โ ROU โ CZE โ FRA | SGP โ CHN โ SUI |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Ferro's 25%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 16 64 62 | L 46 63 16 |
| Bianca Andreescu | W 61 62 | W 60 26 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 36 36 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 26 | L 36 76 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Ningbo Open - Ningbo ยท 1st Round
Oct 19
Daria Snigur
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round
Oct 13
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 16
Selena Janicijevic
Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon ยท 2nd Round
Oct 14
Aurora Zantedeschi
Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon ยท 1st Round
Oct 13
Sijia Wei
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan ยท 2nd Round
Sep 30
Yidi Yang
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan ยท 1st Round
Sep 28
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Noma Noha Akugue
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux ยท Final
Sep 13
Dalma Galfi
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux ยท Semifinals
Sep 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ61 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 69% |
| Sets won | 58% | 65% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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