Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Elisabetta Cocciaretto
#65 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
6w2 meetings · sets 1–4
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Elisabetta Cocciaretto and Naomi Osaka have met 2 times since 2024; Naomi Osaka leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 2–0. Osaka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cocciaretto has taken 1 sets to Osaka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Mubadala DC Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cocciaretto | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 14/24 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 18/41 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 13/18 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cocciaretto 0, Osaka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cocciaretto
🎯 Baseliner
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naomi Osaka.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 31, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 20, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cocciaretto | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 2/4 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cocciaretto | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.40 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | +42.8% | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.71u | -1.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cocciaretto | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Cocciaretto's 56%).
| Opponent | Cocciaretto | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Katerina Siniakova | L 36 26 | W 62 57 61 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 62 67 75 | W 76 76 |
| Talia Gibson | L | L 57 46 |
| Xi Yao Wang | L 36 62 26 | W 63 63 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 76 62 | W 61 75 |
| Iva Jovic | W 64 64 | W 76 67 64 |
| Donna Vekic | W 06 63 62 | W 76 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 06 | L 26 16 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 62 | W 63 36 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lucrezia Stefanini
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Clara Tauson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Xi Yao Wang
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ajla Tomljanovic
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–44 matches
| Metric | Cocciaretto | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 75% |
| Sets won | 56% | 68% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cocciaretto | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cocciaretto | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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