Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นElisabetta Cocciaretto
#66 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4w2 meetings ยท sets 1โ4

๐ฏ๐ตNaomi Osaka
#13 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Elisabetta Cocciaretto and Naomi Osaka have met 2 times since 2024; Naomi Osaka leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 2โ0. Osaka has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cocciaretto has taken 1 sets to Osaka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Mubadala DC Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cocciaretto | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 71% | 22/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 8/16 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 16/37 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 8/17 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 13/18 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cocciaretto 0, Osaka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cocciaretto
๐น Frontrunner
Osaka
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 31, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Mar 20, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cocciaretto | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Cocciaretto | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ3 | 12โ3 |
| Avg odds | 3.13 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +14.2% | +15.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.71u | +2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cocciaretto | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 5 |
| Distance | โ | 350 mi ยท 563 km |
| Route | โ | AUT โ CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Cocciaretto's 50%).
| Opponent | Cocciaretto | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Xi Yao Wang | L 36 62 26 | W 63 63 |
| Elsa Jacquemot | W 76 62 | W 61 75 |
| Iva Jovic | W 64 64 | W 76 67 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 06 | L 26 16 |
| Coco Gauff | L 63 46 36 | W 63 62 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 62 | W 63 36 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Clara Tauson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Xi Yao Wang
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Ajla Tomljanovic
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Alina Korneeva
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 26
Iga Swiatek
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 3rd Round
May 10
Emma Navarro
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 2nd Round
May 8
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 37โ43 matches
| Metric | Cocciaretto | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 72% |
| Sets won | 56% | 67% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cocciaretto | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cocciaretto | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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