Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นElisabetta Cocciaretto
#66 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4w3 meetings ยท sets 3โ4

๐บ๐ธJessica Pegula
#3 ยท 32 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Elisabetta Cocciaretto and Jessica Pegula have met 3 times since 2023; Jessica Pegula leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2023 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Cocciaretto has taken 3 sets to Pegula's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cocciaretto | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 8/16 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 16/37 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 8/17 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 13/18 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cocciaretto 1, Pegula 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cocciaretto
๐น Frontrunner
Pegula
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 2, 2026
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Jul 1, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Jul 7, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cocciaretto | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Cocciaretto | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ3 | 17โ5 |
| Avg odds | 3.13 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +14.2% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.71u | +2.29u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cocciaretto | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 3 |
| Events | โ | 3 |
| Matches | โ | 11 |
| Distance | โ | 761 mi ยท 1,225 km |
| Route | โ | AUT โ CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Cocciaretto's 40%).
| Opponent | Cocciaretto | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 63 46 36 | L 26 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 06 | W 75 46 64 |
| Emma Navarro | W 63 46 63 | W 75 62 |
| Clara Tauson | W 46 76 76 | W 63 26 64 |
| Iva Jovic | W 64 64 | W 46 63 61 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | L 26 76 57 | W 60 63 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 36 | L 16 46 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 26 67 | W 64 61 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 57 46 | W 46 63 62 |
| Ann Li | W 76 57 64 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Clara Tauson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Xi Yao Wang
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Ajla Tomljanovic
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Alina Korneeva
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 26
Iga Swiatek
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 3rd Round
May 10
Emma Navarro
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 2nd Round
May 8
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 37โ76 matches
| Metric | Cocciaretto | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 75% |
| Sets won | 56% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cocciaretto | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cocciaretto | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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