Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇮🇹Elisabetta Cocciaretto
#65 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
6w3 meetings · sets 3–4

🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5wElisabetta Cocciaretto and Jessica Pegula have met 3 times since 2023; Jessica Pegula leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2023 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Cocciaretto has taken 3 sets to Pegula's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cocciaretto | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 14/24 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 18/41 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 13/18 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cocciaretto 1, Pegula 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cocciaretto
🎯 Baseliner
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 272 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 2, 2026
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jul 1, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jul 7, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cocciaretto | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elisabetta Cocciaretto | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 2/4 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cocciaretto | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.40 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +42.8% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.71u | +0.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Cocciaretto's 40%).
| Opponent | Cocciaretto | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Emma Navarro | W 63 46 63 | W 36 64 63 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 36 26 | W 62 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 63 46 36 | L 26 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 06 | W 75 46 64 |
| Clara Tauson | W 46 76 76 | W 63 26 64 |
| Iva Jovic | W 64 64 | W 46 63 61 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 26 67 | W 64 61 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 57 46 | W 46 63 62 |
| Donna Vekic | W 06 63 62 | W 46 62 63 |
| Varvara Gracheva | L 26 16 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lucrezia Stefanini
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Clara Tauson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Xi Yao Wang
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ajla Tomljanovic
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–66 matches
| Metric | Cocciaretto | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 77% |
| Sets won | 56% | 69% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cocciaretto | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cocciaretto | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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