Elina Svitolina vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#6 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
7 meetings · sets 5–10
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Elina Svitolina and Naomi Osaka have met 7 times since 2016; Naomi Osaka leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 5–2. Osaka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 5 sets to Osaka's 10. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 28/45 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/59 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 25/46 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 35/35 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 2, Osaka 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 23, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 18, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 21, 2018
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 23, 2018
Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 24, 2016
Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 20, 2016
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Osaka's 50%).
| Opponent | Svitolina | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | L 46 62 46 | L 57 61 67 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 64 75 | L 46 26 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 16 64 62 | W 62 57 61 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 26 64 64 | L 16 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 36 61 36 | L 26 16 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 36 60 63 | W 62 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 46 | L 46 26 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 64 62 | W |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 26 36 | W 62 76 |
| Xi Yao Wang | W 63 76 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Maria Sakkari
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Solana Sierra
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–59 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 75% |
| Sets won | 68% | 68% |
| Games won | 57% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 5 |
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