Elina Svitolina vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπ¦Elina Svitolina
#6 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
9 meetings Β· sets 9β14

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#4 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5wElina Svitolina and Jessica Pegula have met 9 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 6β3. Their first meeting came at Abu Dhabi Tennis Open - Abu Dhabi in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 6β2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pegula leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 9 sets to Pegula's 14. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 28/45 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/59 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 25/46 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 35/35 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 28/35 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 1, Pegula 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
π The Complete Package
Pegula
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Elina Svitolina and Jessica Pegula are π The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,208 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Feb 21, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard Β· Final
Mar 11, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Feb 11, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jul 29, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Aug 4, 2023
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 12, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Feb 15, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Jan 7, 2021
Abu Dhabi Tennis Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11β4 | 14β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | +0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 1 | β |
| Matches | 4 | β |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | β |
| Route | ROU | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Svitolina and Pegula posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Svitolina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Katerina Siniakova | W 16 64 62 | W 62 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 26 36 | L 57 26 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 36 62 36 | W 63 75 |
| Coco Gauff | W 64 67 62 | L 26 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 36 61 36 | W 75 46 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 62 64 | W 64 26 76 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 76 63 | L 36 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 61 | W 76 62 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 67 76 64 | W 61 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 46 | L 64 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing Β· 4th Round
Oct 7
Maria Sakkari
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katerina Siniakova
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Maya Joint
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Solana Sierra
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 59β66 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 77% |
| Sets won | 68% | 69% |
| Games won | 57% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 3 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 6 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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