Elina Svitolina vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Elina Svitolina
#9 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
9 meetings · sets 9–14
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Elina Svitolina and Jessica Pegula have met 9 times since 2021; Jessica Pegula leads 6–3. Their first meeting came at Abu Dhabi Tennis Open - Abu Dhabi in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 6–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pegula leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Svitolina has taken 9 sets to Pegula's 14. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svitolina | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elina Svitolina | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 25/41 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 20/54 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 21/39 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 31/32 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svitolina 1, Pegula 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svitolina
👑 The Complete Package
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Feb 21, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Final
Mar 11, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Feb 11, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 29, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 2, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 4, 2023
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 12, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Feb 15, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 7, 2021
Abu Dhabi Tennis Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svitolina | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elina Svitolina | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.46u | +2.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svitolina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 12 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Svitolina and Pegula posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Svitolina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | W 64 67 62 | L 26 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 36 61 36 | W 75 46 64 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 62 64 | W 64 26 76 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | W 36 60 63 | W 75 36 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 76 63 | L 36 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 61 | W 76 62 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 67 76 64 | W 61 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 46 | L 64 46 06 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 36 | W 63 75 |
| Iva Jovic | W 76 62 | W 46 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Amanda Anisimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–76 matches
| Metric | Svitolina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 75% |
| Sets won | 67% | 66% |
| Games won | 57% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svitolina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 3 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svitolina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 6 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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