Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇴Elena Gabriela Ruse
#63 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–6
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Gabriela Ruse and Madison Keys have met 3 times since 2025; Madison Keys leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 2–0. Keys has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ruse has taken 2 sets to Keys's 6. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gabriela Ruse | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 17/23 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 34% | 16/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 7/14 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 7/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 80% | 24/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gabriela Ruse 0, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruse
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Gabriela Ruse and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 21, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruse | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruse | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +16.3% | -10.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.30u | -1.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruse | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Ruse and Keys posted a 75% win rate.
| Opponent | Ruse | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 46 60 | W 61 62 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 60 75 | W 46 64 62 |
| Linda Noskova | W 61 63 | L 46 67 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 46 46 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Magda Linette
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Peyton Stearns
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Kaitlin Quevedo
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Caty Mcnally
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Karolina Muchova
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Emma Navarro
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Anna Kalinskaya
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Antonia Ruzic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–47 matches
| Metric | Ruse | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 68% |
| Sets won | 55% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruse | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruse | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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