Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇴Elena Gabriela Ruse
#57 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–6
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#20 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5wElena Gabriela Ruse and Madison Keys have met 3 times since 2025; Madison Keys leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Keys leads 2–0. Keys has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ruse has taken 2 sets to Keys's 6. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gabriela Ruse | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Madison Keys | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 18/53 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 8/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gabriela Ruse 0, Keys 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruse
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Gabriela Ruse and Madison Keys are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 21, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruse | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Gabriela Ruse | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruse | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | -6.9% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.62u | -2.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruse | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Ruse's 56%).
| Opponent | Ruse | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | L 46 16 | L 46 67 |
| Anna Bondar | L 46 61 26 | W 57 64 76 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 26 | L 67 67 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 36 63 62 | W 61 63 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 46 60 | W 61 62 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 60 75 | W 46 64 62 |
| Katie Swan | W 67 62 63 | W 61 64 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 46 46 | W 64 75 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 62 67 61 | W 16 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yulia Putintseva
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Lilli Tagger
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul · Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Yeon Woo Ku
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Eva Lys
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexandra Eala
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Anna Bondar
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alina Korneeva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Katerina Siniakova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daria Snigur
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–53 matches
| Metric | Ruse | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 68% |
| Sets won | 56% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruse | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruse | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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