Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Yue YuanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–2
🇨🇳Yue Yuan
#138 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4wEkaterina Alexandrova and Yue Yuan have met 3 times since 2024; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Paris in 2024 on clay. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 2–0. Alexandrova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 5 sets to Yuan's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Ningbo Open - Ningbo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Yuan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Yue Yuan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 49% | 19/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 15/34 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 2, Yuan 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Yuan
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 16, 2025
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 22, 2024
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 28, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Yuan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Yue Yuan | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | -83.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.32u | -5.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Yuan's 0%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Blinkova | W 67 64 75 | L 36 64 26 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 64 62 | L 46 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 61 67 57 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Elizara Yaneva
Polish Open - Warsaw · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alana Smith
Polish Open - Warsaw · 1st Round
Aug 3
Nikola Bartunkova
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 21
Aliona Falei
Enka Open - Istanbul · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jeline Vandromme
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Katerina Siniakova
Berlin
Jun 15
Robin Montgomery
Hertogenbosch
Jun 6
Mayar Sherif
Parma Ladies Open - Parma · 1st Round
May 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–52 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 44% |
| Sets won | 50% | 47% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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