Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Yue YuanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–2
🇨🇳Yue Yuan
#141 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Yue Yuan have met 3 times since 2024; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Olympics - Paris in 2024 on clay. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 2–0. Alexandrova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 5 sets to Yuan's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Ningbo Open - Ningbo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Yuan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Yue Yuan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 50% | 28/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 33% | 11/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 52% | 15/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 2, Yuan 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Yuan
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 16, 2025
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 22, 2024
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 28, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Yuan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Yue Yuan | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | -37.4% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | -4.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Yuan's 33%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | L 67 67 | L 63 06 06 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 61 26 63 | W 63 62 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 67 64 75 | L 36 64 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Caty Mcnally
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Oleksandra Oliynykova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Dayeon Back
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Mary Stoiana
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Hanyu Guo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Julia Avdeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–56 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 46% |
| Sets won | 49% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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