Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–3
🇺🇸Sofia Kenin
#125 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4Ekaterina Alexandrova and Sofia Kenin have met 3 times since 2024; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Wuhan Open - Wuhan in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 2–1. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 5 sets to Kenin's 3. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 40% | 6/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 1, Kenin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Kenin
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 269 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ekaterina Alexandrova.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 6, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 24, 2025
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 8, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 3.54 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | -63.4% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | -5.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | POR → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Kenin's 0%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | L 36 26 | L 64 36 57 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 62 | L 16 06 |
| Clara Tauson | L 67 64 36 | L 67 26 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 67 64 75 | L 63 16 36 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 63 46 | L 57 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Kamilla Rakhimova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alina Charaeva
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Venus Williams
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–50 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 27% |
| Sets won | 49% | 35% |
| Games won | 50% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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