Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π·πΊEkaterina Alexandrova
#19 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3 meetings Β· sets 5β3

πΊπΈSofia Kenin
#110 Β· 27 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Sofia Kenin have met 3 times since 2024; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Wuhan Open - Wuhan in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 2β1. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 5 sets to Kenin's 3. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 15/34 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 43% | 6/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 1, Kenin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
π€ Servebot
Kenin
π― Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs π― Baseliner across 244 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ekaterina Alexandrova.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 6, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Oct 24, 2025
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 8, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7β7 | 3β6 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | -32.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.32u | -2.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi Β· 2,760 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | CAN β POL β AUT | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Kenin's 17%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Clara Tauson | L 67 64 36 | L 67 26 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 67 64 75 | L 63 16 36 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 63 46 | L 57 57 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 46 76 16 | W 26 63 75 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 64 62 | L 61 46 16 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 63 | L 16 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 15
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 27
Amanda Anisimova
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Petra Marcinko
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Daria Snigur
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Viktorija Golubic
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Viktorija Golubic
Nottingham
Jun 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 36β52 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 33% |
| Sets won | 50% | 38% |
| Games won | 50% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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