Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇺🇸Mccartney Kessler
#95 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
6wEkaterina Alexandrova and Mccartney Kessler have met 2 times since 2025; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Ningbo Open - Ningbo in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 2–0. Alexandrova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 4 sets to Kessler's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 2, Kessler 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Kessler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 30, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 17, 2025
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | — |
| Route | ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Kessler's 10%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Leylah Fernandez | L 46 63 36 | W 63 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 67 67 | L 16 76 16 |
| Linda Noskova | W 62 62 | L 75 36 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 36 64 63 | L 67 16 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 61 26 63 | L 76 67 06 |
| Clara Tauson | L 67 64 36 | L 36 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 76 46 64 | L 16 67 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 63 46 | L 67 67 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 16 36 | L 76 36 46 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 36 64 67 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cadence Brace
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–50 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 49% |
| Sets won | 49% | 48% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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