Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lucia BronzettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บEkaterina Alexandrova
#24 ยท 31 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ฎ๐นLucia Bronzetti
#135 ยท 27 yrs ยท Right-Handed
3Ekaterina Alexandrova and Lucia Bronzetti have met 1 time since 2025; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 2 sets to Bronzetti's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Bronzetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Lucia Bronzetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 32% | 10/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 33% | 21/64 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 1, Bronzetti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
๐ค Servebot
Bronzetti
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ช Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 26, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Bronzetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Lucia Bronzetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ6 | 8โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | -25.7% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | -3.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 654 mi ยท 1,053 km | โ |
| Route | ROU โ CZE | GER โ ESP |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Bronzetti's 0%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 62 | L 36 75 46 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 63 76 | L 16 67 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W | L 75 46 57 |
| Camila Osorio | L 26 46 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Fiona Crawley
Samsun Open - Samsun ยท 1st Round
Oct 5
Lois Boisson
Adana Open - Adana ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Irene Burillo
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya ยท 1st Round
Sep 7
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Luisina Giovannini
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Laura Samson
Axeria Open - Targu Mures ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Axeria Open - Targu Mures ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alevtina Ibragimova
Axeria Open - Targu Mures ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 50โ64 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 52% |
| Sets won | 49% | 51% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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