Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Lucia BronzettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0

🇮🇹Lucia Bronzetti
#135 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4wEkaterina Alexandrova and Lucia Bronzetti have met 1 time since 2025; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 1–0. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 2 sets to Bronzetti's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at French Open - Paris (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Bronzetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Lucia Bronzetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 17/23 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/51 | 29% | 17/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 14/33 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 86% | 25/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 1, Bronzetti 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Bronzetti
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ekaterina Alexandrova.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 26, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Bronzetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Lucia Bronzetti | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 67% | 16/24 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 8% | 2/24 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 20–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | +9.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.32u | +2.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | MKD |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Bronzetti's 0%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 63 76 | L 16 67 |
| Camila Osorio | L 26 46 | L 16 26 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 63 63 | L 36 75 46 |
| Yue Yuan | W 63 63 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Laura Samson
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Semifinals
Aug 1
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alevtina Ibragimova
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Miriana Tona
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 28
Fiona Ferro
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · Semifinals
Jul 25
Yasmine Kabbaj
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Dalila Spiteri
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Ilary Pistola
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 1st Round
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–59 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 49% |
| Sets won | 49% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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