Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kimberly BirrellPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇦🇺Kimberly Birrell
#40 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
TitleEkaterina Alexandrova and Kimberly Birrell have met 2 times since 2023; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch in 2023 on grass. Alexandrova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 4 sets to Birrell's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Birrell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Kimberly Birrell | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 41% | 26/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 1, Birrell 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Birrell
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 3, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 15, 2023
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Birrell | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Kimberly Birrell | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | +0.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 7 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Birrell's 30%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 62 | W 67 76 60 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 63 | L 46 63 36 |
| Lanlana Tararudee | W 75 75 | L 46 67 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 64 62 | L 46 61 16 |
| Ann Li | W 61 67 61 | L 64 67 46 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W | W 64 64 |
| Magda Linette | L 26 64 16 | L 62 16 26 |
| Yue Yuan | W 63 63 | L 36 26 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 36 64 67 | W 57 61 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marie Bouzkova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aoi Ito
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Maya Joint
Korea Open - Seoul · Final
Sep 27
Katie Volynets
Korea Open - Seoul · Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Anna Bondar
Korea Open - Seoul · Semifinals
Sep 26
Ye Xin Ma
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Tamara Zidansek
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–63 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 59% |
| Sets won | 49% | 56% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Birrell |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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