Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elina SvitolinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π·πΊEkaterina Alexandrova
#19 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5 meetings Β· sets 4β8

πΊπ¦Elina Svitolina
#9 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Elina Svitolina have met 5 times since 2020; Elina Svitolina leads 4β1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2020 on clay. On hard courts Svitolina leads 3β0. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 4 sets to Svitolina's 8. Their most recent meeting: Elina Svitolina won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Svitolina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Elina Svitolina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 61% | 25/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 37% | 20/54 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 15/34 | 54% | 21/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 97% | 31/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 78% | 25/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 1, Svitolina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
π€ Servebot
Svitolina
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The π The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs π€ Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Elina Svitolina.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 11, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 16, 2021
Betti Open - Berlin
G Grass Β· 2nd Round
Mar 27, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Jan 10, 2021
Abu Dhabi Tennis Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Oct 2, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Svitolina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Elina Svitolina | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7β7 | 8β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.52 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | -18.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.32u | -2.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi Β· 2,760 km | 761 mi Β· 1,225 km |
| Route | CAN β POL β AUT | AUT β CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Svitolina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Alexandrova's 40%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 61 67 57 | L 36 61 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 76 46 64 | L 26 36 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 36 46 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 63 46 | W 76 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 63 64 | W 62 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | W 26 64 64 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 36 76 63 | W 61 62 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 46 76 16 | W 76 46 63 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 46 57 | L 46 62 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 16 16 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· Semifinals
Aug 13
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Amanda Anisimova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 9
Anastasia Potapova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 2nd Round
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 52β54 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 76% |
| Sets won | 50% | 67% |
| Games won | 50% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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