Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dusan Lajovic and Matteo Arnaldi have met 1 time since 2026; Dusan Lajovic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lajovic has taken 2 sets to Arnaldi's 1. Their most recent meeting: Dusan Lajovic won at Mutua Madrid Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lajovic | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dusan Lajovic | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 17/27 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 16/24 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 9/20 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 17/29 | 47% | 7/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lajovic 0, Arnaldi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lajovic
🎯 Baseliner
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dusan Lajovic.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 20, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lajovic | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dusan Lajovic | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lajovic | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +2.3% | -50.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.30u | -3.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lajovic | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Lajovic and Arnaldi posted a 20% win rate.
| Opponent | Lajovic | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 16 | L 46 64 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 63 46 26 | W 75 52 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 46 | L 16 64 36 |
| Alex Molcan | W 76 64 | L 36 16 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 06 36 | L 76 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Edas Butvilas
Lexington Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Lloyd Harris
Lexington Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
James McCabe
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 13
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Vilius Gaubas
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Chris Rodesch
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Quentin Halys
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–54 matches
| Metric | Lajovic | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 50% |
| Sets won | 50% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lajovic | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lajovic | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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