Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo ArnaldiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dusan Lajovic and Matteo Arnaldi have met 1 time since 2026; Dusan Lajovic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lajovic has taken 2 sets to Arnaldi's 1. Their most recent meeting: Dusan Lajovic won at Mutua Madrid Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lajovic | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dusan Lajovic | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 19/56 | 57% | 21/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 19/28 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 13/25 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 87% | 13/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 20/30 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lajovic 0, Arnaldi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lajovic
🎯 Baseliner
Arnaldi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 20, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lajovic | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dusan Lajovic | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lajovic | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 3.31 |
| ROI % | +16.8% | -27.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.51u | -2.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lajovic | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | POL | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Lajovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Arnaldi's 17%).
| Opponent | Lajovic | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 36 | L 57 46 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 60 64 | L 46 64 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 63 46 26 | W |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 46 | L 16 64 36 |
| Alex Molcan | W 76 64 | L 36 16 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 06 36 | L 76 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Seville Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Max Alcala Gurri
Seville Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Henrique Rocha
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Calvin Hemery
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Martin Landaluce
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
David Jorda Sanchis
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Taylor Fritz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Rei Sakamoto
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
James Duckworth
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–58 matches
| Metric | Lajovic | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 52% |
| Sets won | 50% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lajovic | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lajovic | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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