Donna Vekic vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇭🇷Donna Vekic
#36 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
443 meetings · sets 1–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Donna Vekic and Naomi Osaka have met 3 times since 2016; Naomi Osaka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2016 on hard. On clay courts Osaka leads 2–0. Osaka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Vekic has taken 1 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vekic | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Donna Vekic | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 18/22 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/40 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 10/14 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 18/28 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vekic 0, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vekic
💥 Big Hitter
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Donna Vekic and Naomi Osaka are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 28, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 26, 2019
Stuttgart
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 19, 2016
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vekic | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Donna Vekic | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vekic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.93u | +1.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vekic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,709 mi · 2,751 km | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | CAN → AUT | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Vekic's 0%).
| Opponent | Vekic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | L 46 26 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | L 62 36 57 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Ashlyn Krueger
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Alexandra Eala
Berlin Tennis Open - Berlin · 1st Round
Jun 17
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 14
Katie Boulter
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Karolina Pliskova
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–44 matches
| Metric | Vekic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 73% |
| Sets won | 56% | 67% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vekic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vekic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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