Donna Vekic vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇭🇷Donna Vekic
#36 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Donna Vekic and Naomi Osaka have met 3 times since 2016; Naomi Osaka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2016 on hard. On clay courts Osaka leads 2–0. Osaka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Vekic has taken 1 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vekic | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Donna Vekic | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 22/29 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 18/51 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 17/34 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 27/37 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 22/37 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vekic 0, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vekic
🤖 Servebot
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 28, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 26, 2019
Stuttgart
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 19, 2016
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vekic | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Donna Vekic | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vekic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.61 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.50u | -1.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vekic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Vekic's 14%).
| Opponent | Vekic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 64 67 26 | L 26 16 |
| Maria Timofeeva | L 46 26 | W 63 36 63 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 46 63 | L 57 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | L 46 26 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | L 60 36 26 | W 46 64 63 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 63 67 46 | W |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | L 62 36 57 | W 62 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Lin Zhu
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Xin Yu Wang
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ann Li
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Talia Gibson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–51 matches
| Metric | Vekic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 75% |
| Sets won | 57% | 68% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vekic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vekic | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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