Donna Vekic vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇭🇷Donna Vekic
#36 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 1–6
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5wDonna Vekic and Jessica Pegula have met 3 times since 2022; Jessica Pegula leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2022 on grass. On grass courts Pegula leads 2–0. Pegula has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Vekic has taken 1 sets to Pegula's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vekic | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Donna Vekic | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 22/29 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 18/51 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 17/34 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 27/37 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 22/37 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vekic 0, Pegula 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vekic
🤖 Servebot
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 7, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 20, 2024
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jun 29, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Vekic | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Donna Vekic | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vekic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.61 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -56.3% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.50u | +0.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Vekic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Vekic's 14%).
| Opponent | Vekic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 64 67 26 | W 75 46 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | L 64 46 06 |
| Madison Keys | L 26 36 | W 76 76 |
| Katie Boulter | W 61 63 | W 64 64 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 46 06 | L 61 36 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 46 26 | W 76 62 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | L 60 36 26 | W 16 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Lin Zhu
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Xin Yu Wang
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ann Li
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Talia Gibson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–66 matches
| Metric | Vekic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 77% |
| Sets won | 57% | 69% |
| Games won | 53% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vekic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vekic | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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