Dominic Thiem vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dominic Thiem and Kei Nishikori have met 5 times since 2015; Kei Nishikori leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Halle in 2015 on grass. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Thiem has taken 5 sets to Nishikori's 7. Their most recent meeting: Dominic Thiem won at Nitto ATP Finals (2018).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thiem | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dominic Thiem | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 45% | 5/11 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 40% | 4/10 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 48% | 10/21 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 42% | 5/12 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 56% | 5/9 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 40% | 2/5 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 82% | 9/11 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 45% | 5/11 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thiem 1, Nishikori 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thiem
💥 Big Hitter
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 15, 2018
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 20, 2018
Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 3, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
May 12, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 9, 2015
Halle
G Grass · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thiem | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.70 |
| ROI % | - | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Thiem | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luciano Darderi
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 1st Round
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–21 matches
| Metric | Thiem | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 52% |
| Sets won | - | 50% |
| Games won | - | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thiem | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thiem | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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