Dominic Thiem vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dominic Thiem and Kei Nishikori have met 5 times since 2015; Kei Nishikori leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Halle in 2015 on grass. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Thiem has taken 5 sets to Nishikori's 7. Their most recent meeting: Dominic Thiem won at Nitto ATP Finals (2018).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thiem | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dominic Thiem | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 50% | 4/8 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 50% | 3/6 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 50% | 7/14 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 44% | 4/9 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 80% | 4/5 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 50% | 2/4 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 86% | 6/7 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 57% | 4/7 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thiem 1, Nishikori 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thiem
🎯 Baseliner
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Dominic Thiem and Kei Nishikori are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 606 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 15, 2018
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 20, 2018
Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 3, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 16
May 12, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 9, 2015
Halle
G Grass · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thiem | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | - | 3.62 |
| ROI % | - | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luciano Darderi
Vienna · Round of 32
Oct 22
Ben Shelton
US Open · Round of 128
Aug 26
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Kitzbuhel · Round of 32
Jul 23
Juan Pablo Varillas
Gstaad · Round of 32
Jul 15
Gael Monfils
Mallorca · Round of 32
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 22
Franco Agamenone
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 20
Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–14 matches
| Metric | Thiem | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 57% |
| Sets won | - | 54% |
| Games won | - | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thiem | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thiem | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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